Growth in Trade Underway
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World trade and output since 1948The improvements in the post war trading system have manifested themselves
in a variety of ways. Since 1948, world trade has consistently grown faster
than world output. In fact, the volume of trade in goods has grown by an average
6 per cent a year, whereas world merchandise output has increased by 4 per cent
a year. In volume terms, that represents an 18-fold increase in world trade
since 1948. Exports of manufactured goods are now 43 times higher than they were 50 years
ago.
The end result is that around one quarter of world production is now
traded. This means that one quarter of world production is subject to the rules
of international trade. The institution that creates and enforces those
rules is the World Trade Organization.

Eight rounds of negotiationsMuch of the post war trade expansion can be traced to eight rounds of
multilateral trade negotiations carried out under the auspices of the GATT. Each
round has involved more countries than the one before. It has resulted in
dramatic reductions in tariffs on industrial goods. Average tariffs among
industrialized countries were progressively cut from between 40 and 50 percent
to less than 4 per cent. Most non-tariff restrictions - such as quantitative
restrictions - have been abandoned. As far as rules are concerned, those
contained in the original GATT of 1947 have been developed and elaborated in
the light of experience. In this manner, market-access gains achieved through
tariff cuts could not be cancelled out by new trade barriers such as subsidies,
discriminatory technical standards and unreasonable regulations and procedures.

GATT is not perfectNotwithstanding the considerable expansion in trade, the GATT was in some
ways an unsatisfactory instrument. It was a provisional and makeshift agreement
pressed into service because the International Trade Organization was
still-born. Its arrangements for settling disputes were ineffective. If
governments chose to disregard the dispute settlement rulings then they could -
and they did. Also, the reach of the GATT rules did not go beyond trade in
goods. The time had come when international commerce also embraced trade in
services and trade related aspects of intellectual property rights.

Enter the WTO As a result, the GATT has now been replaced by the World Trade
Organization. The WTO comprises a wide variety of legally binding
multilateral trade agreements covering a vast area of international activity. The
rules contained in these agreements are adhered to by almost 150 countries
accounting for well over 90 per cent of world trade. It was with the successful
conclusion of the Uruguay Round - the eighth round of negotiations under the
auspices of GATT - that the WTO entered into force on 1 January 1995.

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